Methodology Each dot is one simulated round. Score differentials follow a positively skewed distribution — bad rounds are more likely than great ones. Standard deviation scales with handicap (σ ≈ 3.0 at scratch, ~5.0 at 36+). Your handicap index represents your best ~40% of rounds, so your average score runs 2–4 strokes above your target. Dots are placed using a beeswarm algorithm with horizontal jitter to fill gaps between score columns.